Home > 2024 > Rough Edges of AI Technologies in Warfare | Manoj Kumar Mishra

Mainstream, Vol 62 No 49-52, Dec 7, Dec 14, Dec 21 to Dec 28, 2024 (Annual Number)

Rough Edges of AI Technologies in Warfare | Manoj Kumar Mishra

Saturday 7 December 2024

Breakthroughs in technology and their adoption in warfare are likely to cause more wars by enhancing states’ capabilities and expectations to deter and dominate their enemies and win wars against them by engendering perceptions that balance of power has shifted in their favour of them. Germany buoyed by its industrial success miscalculated its power and lost to the Soviet Union in World War II. New technologies can also bring in relative stability in the anarchy of International Politics through even distribution of power such as advancement of nuclear technologies in the domain of weaponization has propelled the smaller powers to harness these to offset their conventional military capabilities and maintain rough balance of power with bigger powers. However, unlike the nuclear power, power accrued through cyber and AI technologies is very difficult to measure and compare to ascertain where a state stands vis-a-vis others. Thus, these technologies would rather disturb the existing balance of power by misperceptions and miscalculations.

The wars that are being fought in Europe and Middle East are